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Premier League

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City prediction (07/11): score, probabilities

Nottingham Forest1-2PredictedMan City
Nottingham For… 21%Draw 23%Man City 56%
Expected goals: 1.1 – 1.92Confidence: MediumGenerated 06/11/2026, 02:30

Our statistical model favours Manchester City: 56% to win, 23% for a draw and 21% for Nottingham Forest.

The likeliest score is 1-2 (9.9%), with expected goals (xG) of 1.1 – 1.92.

Both teams score in 58% of the simulations, three or more goals in 58%.

Predictions are for information only and are not betting advice.

Match previewNottingham Forest vs Man City (08/11): City áp đảo thông số tấn côngManchester City đứng thứ 2 với 21 điểm và sở hữu tỷ lệ kiểm soát bóng 64% trước chuyến làm khách tới sân của Nottingham Forest.Read the preview →

Chance of every scoreline

↓ Nottingham ForestMan City →

Nottingham Forest – Man City
012345+
06%9%9%6%3%2%
15%11%10%6%3%2%
23%6%5%3%2%0.9%
31%2%2%1%0.6%0.3%
40.3%0.6%0.5%0.4%0.2%0.1%
5+0.1%0.2%0.1%0.1%0%0%

Solid outline: the predicted score. Rows: Nottingham Forest goals; columns: Man City goals. The 5 row / column includes 5 or more. Statistical model estimate.

How the match could go

Manchester City have a 60% chance to score first and 33% to win by two or more.

  • Nottingham Forest score first35%
  • Manchester City score first60%
  • Nottingham Forest win by 2 or more8%
  • Manchester City win by 2 or more33%
  • Three or more goals58%
  • One goal or fewer19%
  • 0-06%

Chance to score, player by player

Erling Haaland is the likeliest scorer of the match (58%).

Nottingham Forest

  • Dan Ndoye2 of the team's 6 league goals31%
  • Liam Delap1 of the team's 6 league goals17%

Man City

Estimate: the player's share of his team's goals times the team's expected goals in this match; expected starters only.

The two teams in the tablePremier League

Nottingham Forest: position 19, 6 points from 9 games; Manchester City: position 2, 21 points from 9 games.

Nottingham ForestMan City
  • 6Points21
  • 0.67Goals per game2.22
  • 1.33Conceded per game1.11

Last 5 matches

Nottingham Forest: 0 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost, 2 scored and 8 conceded.

Manchester City: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost, 11 scored and 8 conceded.

Nottingham Forest

  • LossBrentfordAway0-2
  • DrawIpswich TownAway1-1
  • LossArsenalHome0-1
  • LossCrystal PalaceAway1-3
  • LossCoventry CityHome0-1

Man City

  • WinRB LeipzigAway3-2
  • LossBrighton and Hove AlbionHome0-1
  • DrawBrighton and Hove AlbionHome2-2
  • LossAston VillaAway1-2
  • WinAEK AthensHome5-1

Attack and defence in the model

The model rates Nottingham Forest's scoring at 0.91 times and conceding at 0.91 times the league average; Manchester City: 1.31 and 0.74.

Nottingham ForestMan City
  • 0.91Attack1.31
  • 0.91Defence0.74

League average = 1.00. Higher attack is better, lower defence is better.

Expected line-ups

Nottingham Forest are likely to line up in a 3-4-2-1, average age 26.8. Coach: Oliver Glasner.

Manchester City are likely to line up in a 4-2-3-1, average age 25.4. Coach: Enzo Maresca.

Nottingham Forest3-4-2-1

  • 26 Matz Sels – Season rating 6.56
  • 23 Jair Cunha – Season rating 6.72
  • 31 Nikola Milenković – Season rating 6.72
  • 5 Murillo – Season rating 7.22
  • 34 Ola Aina – Season rating 6.87
  • 24 James McAtee – Season rating 7.22
  • 21 Xaver Schlager – Season rating 7.05
  • 3 Neco Williams – Season rating 7.25
  • 14 Dan Ndoye – Season rating 6.6
  • 10 Morgan Gibbs-White – Season rating 7.3
  • 19 Liam Delap – Season rating 6.59

Man City4-2-3-1

  • 1 Gianluigi Donnarumma – Season rating 6.94
  • 27 Matheus Nunes – Season rating 7.2
  • 45 Abdukodir Khusanov – Season rating 7.41
  • 3 Rúben Dias – Season rating 7.04
  • 24 Joško Gvardiol – Season rating 7.42
  • 32 Ayyoub Bouaddi – Season rating 6.86
  • 5 Elliot Anderson – Season rating 7.6
  • 7 Iliman Ndiaye – Season rating 7.36
  • 17 Enzo Fernández – Season rating 7.12
  • 11 Jérémy Doku – Season rating 7.4
  • 9 Erling Haaland – Season rating 8

Based on each team's last starting XI; the number on each player is the season rating.

Players to watch

For Nottingham Forest, Dan Ndoye is top scorer (2), Morgan Gibbs-White has the most assists (2), Murillo has the best average rating (7.23).

For Manchester City, Erling Haaland is top scorer (9), Antoine Semenyo has the most assists (3), Erling Haaland has the best average rating (7.81).

Nottingham Forest

  • Dan NdoyeGoals2
  • Morgan Gibbs-WhiteAssists2
  • MurilloAverage rating7.23

Man City

League numbers this season.